Market comparison
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗22 outcomes · $54K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $40K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on Spotify Wrapped for the year; Kalshi U.S. markets use the U.S. chart, global markets the global chart. Polymarket's deadline for the report may differ from Kalshi's.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bad Bunny Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Bruno Mars Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Drake Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Taylor Swift Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.0 pp | ||
The Weeknd Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.7 pp | ||
Ariana Grande Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Beyoncé Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Billie Eilish Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chappell Roan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ed Sheeran Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Eminem Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Justin Bieber Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kendrick Lamar Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Morgan Wallen Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 1 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 2 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 3 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 4 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 7 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Placeholder 11 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bad Bunny
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Bruno Mars
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Drake
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Taylor Swift
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 5.0 pp
The Weeknd
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.7 pp
Ariana Grande
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Beyoncé
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Billie Eilish
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Chappell Roan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Ed Sheeran
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Eminem
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Justin Bieber
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kendrick Lamar
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Morgan Wallen
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Placeholder 1
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 2
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 3
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 4
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 7
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Placeholder 11
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.