Market comparison

#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

64 outcomes · $143K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $33K reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for #2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bad Bunny Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Bad Bunny Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.6% Bad Bunny Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Bad Bunny Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Bad Bunny Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bruno Mars Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.1% Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Bruno Mars Open Kalshi ↗	—
Drake Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	81.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 82.0% Drake Open Polymarket ↗ 13.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0% Drake Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Drake Open Polymarket ↗	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Drake Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michael Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Michael Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Michael Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Taylor Swift Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗ 81.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0% Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗	77.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% Taylor Swift Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Weeknd Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% The Weeknd Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% The Weeknd Open Polymarket ↗ 47.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0% The Weeknd Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% The Weeknd Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ariana Grande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artist B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Artist B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artist C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Artist C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artist D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Artist D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artist E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Artist E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artist F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Artist F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Beyoncé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Beyoncé Open Kalshi ↗	—
Billie Eilish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9% Billie Eilish Open Polymarket ↗ 0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0% Billie Eilish Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Billie Eilish Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chappell Roan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Chappell Roan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Coldplay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Coldplay Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ed Sheeran Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Ed Sheeran Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Ed Sheeran Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Ed Sheeran Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ella Langley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ella Langley Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eminem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Eminem Open Polymarket ↗ 0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Eminem Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Justin Bieber Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Justin Bieber Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Justin Bieber Open Polymarket ↗ 0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Justin Bieber Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kendrick Lamar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kendrick Lamar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lady Gaga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Lady Gaga Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Morgan Wallen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Morgan Wallen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Noah Kahan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Noah Kahan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Olivia Rodrigo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Olivia Rodrigo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Placeholder 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 1 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 1 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rihanna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 53.0% Rihanna Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shakira Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Shakira Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bad Bunny

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8%

Bad Bunny

#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bad Bunny

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruno Mars

Polymarket

Kalshi

Drake

Polymarket

Kalshi

Michael Jackson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Taylor Swift

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Weeknd

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ariana Grande

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artist B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artist C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artist D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artist E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artist F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Beyoncé

Polymarket

Kalshi

Billie Eilish

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chappell Roan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Coldplay

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ed Sheeran

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ella Langley

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eminem

Polymarket

Kalshi

Justin Bieber

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kendrick Lamar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lady Gaga

Polymarket

Kalshi

Morgan Wallen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Noah Kahan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder 1

Polymarket