Market comparison

#2 Spotify Song 2026

2 venues · 79 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

66 outcomes · $134K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

25 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on Spotify Wrapped for the year; Kalshi U.S. markets use the U.S. chart, global markets the global chart. Polymarket's deadline for the report may differ from Kalshi's.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for #2 Spotify Song 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
APT. Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% APT. Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
Babydoll Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Babydoll – Dominic Fike Open Polymarket ↗	84.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0% Babydoll Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Beauty and a Beat Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Beauty and a Beat Open Kalshi ↗	3.8 pp
Billie Jean Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Billie Jean – Michael Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Billie Jean Open Kalshi ↗	1.8 pp
Die With A Smile Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Die With A Smile Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
drop dead Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% drop dead Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
End of Beginning Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% End of Beginning – Djo Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% End of Beginning Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
hate that i made you love me Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% hate that i made you love me Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Man I Need Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Man I Need – Olivia Dean Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Man I Need Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
stupid song Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% stupid song Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
SWIM Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Swim – BTS Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% SWIM Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
back to friends Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% back to friends Open Kalshi ↗	—
BIRDS OF A FEATHER Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% BIRDS OF A FEATHER Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Don’t Say You Love Me Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Don’t Say You Love Me Open Kalshi ↗	—
DtMF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% DtMF Open Kalshi ↗	—
Golden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Golden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Manchild Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Manchild Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ordinary Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Ordinary Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raindance (feat. Tems) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Raindance (feat. Tems) Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risk It All – Bruno Mars Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Risk It All – Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Self Aware Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Self Aware Open Kalshi ↗	—
So Easy (To Fall in Love) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% So Easy (To Fall in Love) Open Kalshi ↗	—
Soda Pop Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Soda Pop Open Kalshi ↗	—
Song AA" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AA" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AB" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AB" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AC" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AC" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AD" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AD" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AE" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AE" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AF" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AF" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AG" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AG" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AH" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AH" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AI" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AI" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AJ" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AJ" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AK" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AK" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AL" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AL" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AM" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AM" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AN" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AN" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AN" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song A" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AO" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AO" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AP" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AP" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AQ" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AQ" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AR" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AR" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AS" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AS" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AT" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AT" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AU" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AU" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AV" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AV" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AW" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AW" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AX" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AX" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song AY" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song AY" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song B" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song B" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song C" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song C" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song D" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song D" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song E" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song E" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song F" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song F" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song G" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song G" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song H" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song H" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song I" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song I" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song J" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song J" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song K" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song K" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song L" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song L" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song M" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song M" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song N" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song N" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song O" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song O" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song P" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song P" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song Q" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song Q" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song R" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song R" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song S" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song S" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song T" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song T" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song U" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song U" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song V" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song V" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song W" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song W" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song X" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song X" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song Y" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song Y" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Song Z" Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% "Song Z" · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Stateside + Zara Larsson Open Kalshi ↗	—
the cure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% the cure Open Kalshi ↗	—
Your Idol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Your Idol Open Kalshi ↗	—

APT.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars

#2 Spotify Song 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

APT.

Polymarket

Kalshi

Babydoll

Polymarket

Kalshi

Beauty and a Beat

Polymarket

Kalshi

Billie Jean

Polymarket

Kalshi

Die With A Smile

Polymarket

Kalshi

drop dead

Polymarket

Kalshi

End of Beginning

Polymarket

Kalshi

hate that i made you love me

Polymarket

Kalshi

Man I Need

Polymarket

Kalshi

stupid song

Polymarket

Kalshi

SWIM

Polymarket

Kalshi

back to friends

Polymarket

Kalshi

BIRDS OF A FEATHER

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy

Polymarket

Kalshi

Don’t Say You Love Me

Polymarket

Kalshi

DtMF

Polymarket

Kalshi

Golden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Manchild

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ordinary

Polymarket

Kalshi

Raindance (feat. Tems)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risk It All – Bruno Mars

Polymarket

Kalshi

Self Aware

Polymarket

Kalshi

So Easy (To Fall in Love)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Soda Pop

Polymarket

Kalshi

Song AA"

Polymarket

Kalshi

Song AB"