Market comparison
2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals Winner
2 venues · 32 outcome rows · 32 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $4.3M reported volume
Observed 17s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2029
Polymarket
Open venue ↗38 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume
Observed 17s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Anaheim Ducks Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.4 pp | ||
Boston Bruins Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Buffalo Sabres Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Calgary Flames Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Carolina Hurricanes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Chicago Blackhawks Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Colorado Avalanche Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Columbus Blue Jackets Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Dallas Stars Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Detroit Red Wings Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Edmonton Oilers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Florida Panthers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Los Angeles Kings Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.1 pp | ||
Minnesota Wild Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.4 pp | ||
Montréal Canadiens Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.4 pp | ||
Nashville Predators Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
New Jersey Devils Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.4 pp | ||
New York Islanders Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
New York Rangers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Ottawa Senators Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Philadelphia Flyers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Pittsburgh Penguins Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp | ||
San Jose Sharks Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Seattle Kraken Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
St. Louis Blues Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.1 pp | ||
Tampa Bay Lightning Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Toronto Maple Leafs Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.3 pp | ||
Utah Mammoth Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.6 pp | ||
Vancouver Canucks Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Vegas Golden Knights Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Washington Capitals Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.0 pp | ||
Winnipeg Jets Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp |
Anaheim Ducks
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.4 pp
Boston Bruins
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.8 pp
Buffalo Sabres
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Calgary Flames
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Carolina Hurricanes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Chicago Blackhawks
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
Colorado Avalanche
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Columbus Blue Jackets
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Dallas Stars
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Detroit Red Wings
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
Edmonton Oilers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Florida Panthers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Los Angeles Kings
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.1 pp
Minnesota Wild
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.4 pp
Montréal Canadiens
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.4 pp
Nashville Predators
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
New Jersey Devils
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.4 pp
New York Islanders
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
New York Rangers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Ottawa Senators
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Philadelphia Flyers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
Pittsburgh Penguins
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
San Jose Sharks
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Seattle Kraken
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
St. Louis Blues
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.1 pp
Tampa Bay Lightning
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Toronto Maple Leafs
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.3 pp
Utah Mammoth
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.6 pp
Vancouver Canucks
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Vegas Golden Knights
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Washington Capitals
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Winnipeg Jets
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.