Market comparison

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
D+1 to D+2.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0% D+1 to D+2.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
D+3 to D+4.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% D+3 to D+4.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
D+5 to D+6.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% D+5 to D+6.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
D+7 or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% D+7 or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
R+0.9 to D+0.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% R+0.9 to D+0.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
R+1 to R+2.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% R+1 to R+2.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
R+3 to R+4.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% R+3 to R+4.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
R+5 to R+6.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% R+5 to R+6.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
R+7 or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% R+7 or more Open Kalshi ↗	—

D+1 to D+2.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0%

D+1 to D+2.9

Open Kalshi ↗

D+3 to D+4.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

D+3 to D+4.9

Open Kalshi ↗

D+5 to D+6.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

D+5 to D+6.9

Open Kalshi ↗

D+7 or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

D+7 or more

Open Kalshi ↗

R+0.9 to D+0.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

R+0.9 to D+0.9

Open Kalshi ↗

R+1 to R+2.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

R+1 to R+2.9

Open Kalshi ↗

R+3 to R+4.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

R+3 to R+4.9

Open Kalshi ↗

R+5 to R+6.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

R+5 to R+6.9

Open Kalshi ↗

R+7 or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

R+7 or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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