Market comparison

2026 Nobel Physics winner?

1 venue · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

24 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 404h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2026 Nobel Physics winner?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Alexei Kitaev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alexei Kitaev · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Allan MacDonald Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Allan MacDonald · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carlos Frenk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Carlos Frenk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Charles Kane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Charles Kane · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Charbonneau Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old David Charbonneau · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eugene Mele Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Eugene Mele · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ewine van Dishoeck Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ewine van Dishoeck · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Federico Capasso Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Federico Capasso · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ingrid Daubechies Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ingrid Daubechies · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jainendra Jain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jainendra Jain · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
James Eisenstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old James Eisenstein · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Pendry Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old John Pendry · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Preskill Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old John Preskill · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marc Davis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Marc Davis · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michael Berry Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Michael Berry · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moty Heiblum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Moty Heiblum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pablo Jarillo-Herrero Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pablo Jarillo-Herrero · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Peter Shor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Peter Shor · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rafi Bistritzer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Rafi Bistritzer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sara Seager Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sara Seager · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Simon White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Simon White · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stéphane Mallat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Stéphane Mallat · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakir Aharonov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.7%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yakir Aharonov · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yves Meyer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yves Meyer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alexei Kitaev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alexei Kitaev · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Allan MacDonald

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Allan MacDonald · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Carlos Frenk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Carlos Frenk · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Charles Kane

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Charles Kane · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

David Charbonneau

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

David Charbonneau · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Eugene Mele

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.8%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Eugene Mele · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ewine van Dishoeck

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ewine van Dishoeck · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Federico Capasso

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Federico Capasso · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ingrid Daubechies

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ingrid Daubechies · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jainendra Jain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jainendra Jain · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

James Eisenstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

James Eisenstein · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

John Pendry

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

John Pendry · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

John Preskill

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

John Preskill · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Marc Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Marc Davis · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Berry

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Michael Berry · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Moty Heiblum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Moty Heiblum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pablo Jarillo-Herrero

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pablo Jarillo-Herrero · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Peter Shor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Peter Shor · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Rafi Bistritzer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Rafi Bistritzer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sara Seager

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.6%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sara Seager · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Simon White

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Simon White · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Stéphane Mallat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Stéphane Mallat · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakir Aharonov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.7%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yakir Aharonov · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yves Meyer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yves Meyer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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