Market comparison

2026 World GDP Growth

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $715K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $83K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2026 World GDP Growth
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
0.0% or Below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 0.0% or Below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.1% to 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.7% 0.1% to 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.6% to 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5% 0.6% to 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.1% to 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.6% 1.1% to 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.6% to 2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.1% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% 1.6% to 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.1% to 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.2% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% 2.1% to 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.6% to 3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.6% Bid 12.2% · Ask 14.6% 2.6% to 3.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.2% ≤2.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.7% Bid 11.5% · Ask 15.9% 3.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.1% Bid 58.6% · Ask 59.6% 3.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.1% to 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.8% 3.1% to 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 11.8% · Ask 14.1% 3.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.0% 3.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.8% 3.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% 3.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.9% 3.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.6% to 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% 3.6% to 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.7%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% 3.7%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.1% to 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 4.1% to 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.6% to 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 4.6% to 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.1% to 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 5.1% to 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.6% to 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% 5.6% to 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
6.1% or Above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 6.1% or Above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 97.5% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 96.5% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Above 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 91.0% Above 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 79.0% Above 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗ 95.5% Bid 92.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0% Above 3.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 95.5% Bid 92.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Above 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Above 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 89.0% Above 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0% Above 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

0.0% or Below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9%

0.0% or Below

2026 World GDP Growth

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.0% or Below

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.1% to 0.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

0.6% to 1.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.1% to 1.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

1.6% to 2.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.1% to 2.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.6% to 3.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

2.9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.1%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.1% to 3.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.6% to 4.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

3.7%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

4.1% to 4.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

4.6% to 5.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

5.1% to 5.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

5.6% to 6.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

6.1% or Above

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 0.0%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 0.5%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 1.0%

Kalshi