Market comparison
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
2 venues · 47 outcome rows · 22 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗46 outcomes · $585K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 17, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗23 outcomes · $25K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bernard Cazeneuve Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.3 pp | ||
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Clémentine Autain Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.0 pp | ||
Fabien Roussel Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.0 pp | ||
François Asselineau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
François Hollande Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.0 pp | ||
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Gérald Darmanin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.3 pp | ||
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.6 pp | ||
Jérôme Guedj Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.3 pp | ||
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.6 pp | ||
Karim Bouamrane Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.9 pp | ||
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
Nathalie Arthaud Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Olivier Faure Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.6 pp | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.0 pp | ||
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Bally Bagayoko Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Carole Delga Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
David Lisnard Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Delphine Batho Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
François Bayrou Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jean Castex Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jean Lassalle Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jean-Michel Fauvergue Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Juan Branco Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Laurent Wauquiez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
lisabeth Borne Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Manuel Bompard Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Manuel Valls Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mathilde Panot Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Matthieu Pigasse Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michel Barnier Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michel-Edouard Leclerc Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Philippe de Villiers Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sarah Knafo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sébastien Lecornu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ségolène Royal Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Teddy Riner Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Valérie Pécresse Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Xavier Bertrand Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yaël Braun-Pivet Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bernard Cazeneuve
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.3 pp
Bruno Retailleau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Clémentine Autain
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.5 pp
Dominique de Villepin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
douard Philippe
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.0 pp
Fabien Roussel
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.0 pp
François Asselineau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
François Hollande
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.0 pp
François Ruffin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Gabriel Attal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.5 pp
Gérald Darmanin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.3 pp
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.6 pp
Jérôme Guedj
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.3 pp
Jordan Bardella
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.6 pp
Karim Bouamrane
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.9 pp
Marine Le Pen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
Marine Tondelier
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
Nathalie Arthaud
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.0 pp
Olivier Faure
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Raphaël Glucksmann
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.0 pp
ric Zemmour
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Bally Bagayoko
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Carole Delga
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
David Lisnard
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Delphine Batho
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
François Bayrou
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jean Castex
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jean Lassalle
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Juan Branco
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Laurent Wauquiez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
lisabeth Borne
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Manuel Bompard
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Manuel Valls
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Mathilde Panot
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Matthieu Pigasse
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Michel Barnier
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Philippe de Villiers
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sarah Knafo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sébastien Lecornu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ségolène Royal
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Teddy Riner
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Valérie Pécresse
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Xavier Bertrand
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.