Market comparison
2027 Pro Basketball Champion
2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 30 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗30 outcomes · $44.3M reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 30, 2029
Polymarket
Open venue ↗36 outcomes · $29.1M reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Boston Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Brooklyn Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Charlotte Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Chicago Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Cleveland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Dallas Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Denver Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp | ||
Detroit Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Golden State Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.1 pp | ||
Houston Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Indiana Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Los Angeles C Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Los Angeles L Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Memphis Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Miami Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.9 pp | ||
Milwaukee Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Minnesota Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
New Orleans Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
New York Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Oklahoma City Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Orlando Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.3 pp | ||
Philadelphia Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Phoenix Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Portland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Sacramento Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
San Antonio Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Toronto Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Utah Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.4 pp | ||
Washington Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp |
Atlanta
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Boston
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Brooklyn
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Charlotte
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Chicago
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Cleveland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
Dallas
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
Denver
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
Detroit
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Golden State
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.1 pp
Houston
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Indiana
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Los Angeles C
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Los Angeles L
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Memphis
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Miami
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.9 pp
Milwaukee
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Minnesota
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
New Orleans
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
New York
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Oklahoma City
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Orlando
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.3 pp
Philadelphia
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Phoenix
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
Portland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Sacramento
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
San Antonio
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Toronto
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Utah
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.4 pp
Washington
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.