Market comparison

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

1 venue · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

20 outcomes · $171K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 6, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2028 popular vote margin of victory?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Republican by 1.0% to 1.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Republican by 2.0% to 2.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Republican by 3.0% to 3.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 4.0% to 4.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 5.0% to 5.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 6.0% to 6.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 7.0% to 7.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 8.0% to 8.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 9.0% or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0% Democratic by 9.0% or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 9.0% or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Republican by 9.0% or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 0.01% to 0.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Republican by 0.01% to 0.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 0.01% to 0.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 9.0% or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democratic by 9.0% or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 9.0% or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Republican by 9.0% or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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