Market comparison

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

1 venue · 32 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

32 outcomes · $138K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
AOC defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% AOC defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
AOC defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% JD Vance defeats AOC Open Kalshi ↗	—
AOC defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% AOC defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
AOC defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats AOC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
James Talarico defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% James Talarico defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats James Talarico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance defeats James Talarico Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—

Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

AOC defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

AOC defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

AOC defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

JD Vance defeats AOC

Open Kalshi ↗

AOC defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

AOC defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

AOC defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats AOC

Open Kalshi ↗

Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

James Talarico defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

James Talarico defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats James Talarico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance defeats James Talarico

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg

Open Kalshi ↗

Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg

Open Kalshi ↗

Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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