The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

AfD in a German state government?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

5 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 83.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.0%

Before Jan 1, 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 98.0%

Before Jan 1, 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 68.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.