Market comparison

AI capability growth before July?

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $344K reported volume

Observed 3029h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for AI capability growth before July?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
At least 1500 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1500 score · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1525 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1525 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1550 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1550 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1575 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1575 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1600 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1600 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1625 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1625 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1650 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1650 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1675 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1675 score Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1700 score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old At least 1700 score Open Kalshi ↗	—

At least 1500 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1500 score · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1525 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1525 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1550 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1550 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1575 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1575 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1600 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1600 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1625 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1625 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1650 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1650 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1675 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1675 score

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1700 score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

At least 1700 score

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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