Market comparison

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

13 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.4% · Ask 6.1% Republican 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.2% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.3% Bid 18.1% · Ask 22.5% Republican 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.7% Republican 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Republican 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.2%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.3%

Bid 18.1% · Ask 22.5%

Republican 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Republican 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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