Market comparison

AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 5s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Palmer, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.8% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.6% Palmer, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0% Palmer, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Palmer, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Palmer, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Palmer, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Palmer, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 3.8% · Ask 15.0% Palmer, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Palmer, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5% Palmer, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4% Palmer, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.8% Republican 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 11.9% · Ask 16.4% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.2% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.2% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Palmer, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.8%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.6%

Palmer, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0%

Palmer, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Palmer, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Palmer, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Palmer, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Palmer, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 15.0%

Palmer, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Palmer, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5%

Palmer, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4%

Palmer, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.8%

Republican 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 11.9% · Ask 16.4%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.2%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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