Market comparison

Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 31.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moore, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.7% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.8% Moore, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0% Moore, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Moore, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Moore, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Moore, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Moore, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 32.0% Moore, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Moore, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Moore, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0% Moore, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 9.9% Moore, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 3.8% · Ask 9.0% Moore, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 15.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.8% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 43.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.3% Bid 12.5% · Ask 18.2% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.3% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.1% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 31.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moore, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.7%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.8%

Moore, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0%

Moore, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Moore, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Moore, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Moore, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

Moore, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 32.0%

Moore, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Moore, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Moore, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0%

Moore, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 9.9%

Moore, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 9.0%

Moore, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 15.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.8%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 43.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.3%

Bid 12.5% · Ask 18.2%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.3%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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