Market comparison

Alabama's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Carl, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.7% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.3% Carl, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Carl, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Carl, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0% Carl, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Carl, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Carl, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 3.6% · Ask 15.0% Carl, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9% Carl, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 2.4% · Ask 7.3% Carl, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Carl, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Carl, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Carl, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Carl, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carl, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Carl, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.2% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5% Republican 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 10.1% · Ask 17.8% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.1% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.6% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.9% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Carl, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.7%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.3%

Carl, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0%

Carl, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Carl, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0%

Carl, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Carl, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Carl, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 15.0%

Carl, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9%

Carl, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 7.3%

Carl, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Carl, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Carl, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Carl, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Carl, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carl, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Carl, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.2%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5%

Republican 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 17.8%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.9%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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