Market comparison

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 14 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

40 outcomes · $1.6M reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $1.1M reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Adam Crum Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Adam Crum Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Adam Crum Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Bernadette Wilson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Bernadette Wilson Open Polymarket ↗	9.3% Bid 9.1% · Ask 11.0% Bernadette Wilson Open Kalshi ↗	1.2 pp
Bruce Walden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Bill Walker Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bill Walker Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Click Bishop Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Click Bishop Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Click Bishop Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Edna DeVries Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Edna DeVries Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Edna DeVries Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	87.6% Bid 87.1% · Ask 88.2% Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Open Polymarket ↗	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Lesil McGuire Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Lesil McGuire Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Lesil McGuire Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Lisa Murkowski Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Lisa Murkowski Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Lisa Murkowski Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Mary Peltola Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Mary Peltola Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Mary Peltola Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Matt Heilala Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Matt Heilala Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Matt Heilala Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Nancy Dahlstrom Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Nancy Dahlstrom Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Nancy Dahlstrom Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Shelley Hughes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Shelley Hughes Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Shelley Hughes Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Tom Begich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tom Begich Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Tom Begich Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Treg Taylor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Treg Taylor Open Polymarket ↗	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5% Treg Taylor Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Bruce Walden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Bruce Walden Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dave Bronson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% David Bronson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dave Bronson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Dave Bronson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% Democratic party Open Kalshi ↗	—
Destry J. Payne Sr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Destry J. Payne Sr. Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gregg Brelsford Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Gregg Brelsford Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hank Kroll Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Hank Kroll Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James Parkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% James Parkin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jessica Faircloth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Jessica Faircloth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matt Claman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Matt Claman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matt Claman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Matthew Claman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican party Open Kalshi ↗	—

Adam Crum

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Adam Crum

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Adam Crum

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bernadette Wilson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruce Walden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Click Bishop

Polymarket

Kalshi

Edna DeVries

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lesil McGuire

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lisa Murkowski

Polymarket

Kalshi

Mary Peltola

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matt Heilala

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nancy Dahlstrom

Polymarket

Kalshi

Shelley Hughes

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tom Begich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Treg Taylor

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruce Walden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dave Bronson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dave Bronson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Democratic party

Polymarket

Kalshi

Destry J. Payne Sr.

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gregg Brelsford

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hank Kroll

Polymarket

Kalshi

James Parkin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jessica Faircloth

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matt Claman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matt Claman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican party

Polymarket