The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 3876h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

25%+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

30%+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

40%+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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