Market comparison

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 441h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 5, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Anthropic share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Above 4.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 5.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 6.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 6.8% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 7.7% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 8.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 8.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 9.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 9.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 11.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 11.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 14.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 14.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above 4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.1% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 5.1% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 6.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 6.8% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 7.7% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 8.6% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 9.6% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 11.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 11.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 14.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 14.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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