Market comparison

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arizona's 8th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hamadeh, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0% Hamadeh, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Hamadeh, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Hamadeh, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Hamadeh, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Hamadeh, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.9% · Ask 17.0% Hamadeh, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Hamadeh, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamadeh, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7% Hamadeh, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 19.8% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 6.6% · Ask 14.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 2.3% · Ask 9.4% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.3% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hamadeh, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0%

Hamadeh, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Hamadeh, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Hamadeh, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Hamadeh, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Hamadeh, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 17.0%

Hamadeh, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Hamadeh, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7%

Hamadeh, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 19.8%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 14.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 9.4%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.3%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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