Market comparison

Arkansas Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arkansas Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 7.3% · Ask 12.2% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.2% Bid 29.6% · Ask 30.8% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.2% Bid 22.4% · Ask 23.9% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sanders, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.2% Bid 91.0% · Ask 97.4% Sanders, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.1% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.2% Sanders, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Sanders, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 69.0% Sanders, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 58.0% Sanders, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0% Sanders, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Sanders, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.0% Sanders, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.2% Sanders, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6% Sanders, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanders, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.3% Sanders, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 12.2%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.2%

Bid 29.6% · Ask 30.8%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.2%

Bid 22.4% · Ask 23.9%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sanders, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.2%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 97.4%

Sanders, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.1%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.2%

Sanders, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Sanders, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 69.0%

Sanders, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 58.0%

Sanders, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0%

Sanders, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Sanders, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 13.0%

Sanders, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.2%

Sanders, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.6%

Sanders, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanders, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.3%

Sanders, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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