Market comparison

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $45K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1.05M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.3% 1.05M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
600K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% <600K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
600K-675K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% 600K-675K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
675K-750K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% 675K-750K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
750K-825K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.3% 750K-825K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
825K-900K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% 825K-900K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
900K-975K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 52.0% 900K-975K Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
975K-1.05M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% 975K-1.05M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 1.04M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 21.0% Above 1.04M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.08M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Above 1.08M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.12M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 1.12M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.16M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 1.16M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 750K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 750K Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 800K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 800K Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 850K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Above 850K Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 900K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0% Above 900K Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 950K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Above 950K Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 990K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Above 990K Open Kalshi ↗	—

1.05M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.3%

1.05M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

600K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

<600K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

600K-675K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

600K-675K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

675K-750K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

675K-750K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

750K-825K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.3%

750K-825K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

825K-900K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

825K-900K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

900K-975K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 52.0%

900K-975K

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

975K-1.05M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

975K-1.05M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 1.04M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 21.0%

Above 1.04M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.08M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Above 1.08M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.12M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 1.12M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.16M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 1.16M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 750K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 750K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 800K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 800K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 850K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Above 850K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 900K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0%

Above 900K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 950K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Above 950K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 990K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 990K

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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