Market comparison

Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.3% Bid 17.6% · Ask 18.9% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.9% Bid 20.9% · Ask 22.8% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 2.4% · Ask 6.9% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.3% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Womack, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.1% Bid 89.0% · Ask 95.9% Womack, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.9% Womack, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0% Womack, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0% Womack, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	56.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Womack, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Womack, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Womack, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 5.7% · Ask 17.0% Womack, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Womack, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Womack, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 17.6% · Ask 18.9%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.9%

Bid 20.9% · Ask 22.8%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Womack, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.1%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 95.9%

Womack, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.9%

Womack, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

Womack, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

Womack, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Womack, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Womack, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Womack, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 17.0%

Womack, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Womack, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Womack, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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