Market comparison

AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 1.8% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lamb, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0% Lamb, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 79.0% Lamb, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Lamb, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Lamb, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Lamb, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Lamb, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.5% · Ask 17.0% Lamb, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0% Lamb, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamb, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Lamb, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.7% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.5% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.7% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lamb, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0%

Lamb, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 79.0%

Lamb, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Lamb, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Lamb, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Lamb, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Lamb, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 17.0%

Lamb, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0%

Lamb, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamb, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Lamb, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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