Market comparison

AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 1.5% · Ask 11.6% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.7% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.4% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1% Democrat 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Grijalva, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.1% Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.2% Grijalva, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.9% Bid 90.9% · Ask 99.8% Grijalva, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.9% Grijalva, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.2% Grijalva, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0% Grijalva, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0% Grijalva, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 61.0% Grijalva, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Grijalva, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Grijalva, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grijalva, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 7.6% · Ask 14.0% Grijalva, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 11.6%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.7%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.4%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1%

Democrat 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Grijalva, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.1%

Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.2%

Grijalva, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.9%

Bid 90.9% · Ask 99.8%

Grijalva, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.9%

Grijalva, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.2%

Grijalva, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0%

Grijalva, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0%

Grijalva, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 61.0%

Grijalva, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Grijalva, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Grijalva, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grijalva, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 14.0%

Grijalva, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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