Market comparison

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

1 venue · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

51 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Achraf Hakimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8% Achraf Hakimi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bruno Fernandes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dayot Upamecano Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.9% Dayot Upamecano Open Polymarket ↗	—
Declan Rice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.9% Declan Rice Open Polymarket ↗	—
Erling Haaland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.2% Erling Haaland Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fabian Ruiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Fabian Ruiz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ferran Torres Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Ferran Torres Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabriel Magalhães Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.7% Gabriel Magalhães Open Polymarket ↗	—
Harry Kane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.7% Harry Kane Open Polymarket ↗	—
João Neves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.7% João Neves Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jude Bellingham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid — · Ask 6.9% Jude Bellingham Open Polymarket ↗	—
Julián Quiñones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid — · Ask 10.9% Julián Quiñones Open Polymarket ↗	—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kylian Mbappé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 5.7% · Ask 13.2% Kylian Mbappé Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lamine Yamal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.4% Lamine Yamal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lautaro Martinez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid — · Ask 10.9% Lautaro Martinez Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lionel Messi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Lionel Messi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Luis Diaz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4% Luis Diaz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marc Cucurella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3% Marc Cucurella Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marquinhos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid — · Ask 10.9% Marquinhos Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Olise Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.9% Michael Olise Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nuno Mendes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9% Nuno Mendes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ousmane Dembélé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.2% Ousmane Dembélé Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pau Cubarsi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4% Pau Cubarsi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0% Rodri Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sadio Mané Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.5% Sadio Mané Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vinícius Júnior Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.2% Vinícius Júnior Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vitinha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.9% Vitinha Open Polymarket ↗	—
William Saliba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% William Saliba Open Polymarket ↗	—
Willian Pacho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0% Willian Pacho Open Polymarket ↗	—

Achraf Hakimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8%

Achraf Hakimi

Open Polymarket ↗

Bruno Fernandes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.0%

Bruno Fernandes

Open Polymarket ↗

Dayot Upamecano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.9%

Dayot Upamecano

Open Polymarket ↗

Declan Rice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.9%

Declan Rice

Open Polymarket ↗

Erling Haaland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.2%

Erling Haaland

Open Polymarket ↗

Fabian Ruiz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0%

Fabian Ruiz

Open Polymarket ↗

Ferran Torres

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Ferran Torres

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabriel Magalhães

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.7%

Gabriel Magalhães

Open Polymarket ↗

Harry Kane

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.7%

Harry Kane

Open Polymarket ↗

João Neves

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.7%

João Neves

Open Polymarket ↗

Jude Bellingham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid — · Ask 6.9%

Jude Bellingham

Open Polymarket ↗

Julián Quiñones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid — · Ask 10.9%

Julián Quiñones

Open Polymarket ↗

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kylian Mbappé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 13.2%

Kylian Mbappé

Open Polymarket ↗

Lamine Yamal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.4%

Lamine Yamal

Open Polymarket ↗

Lautaro Martinez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid — · Ask 10.9%

Lautaro Martinez

Open Polymarket ↗

Lionel Messi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lionel Messi

Open Polymarket ↗

Luis Diaz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4%

Luis Diaz

Open Polymarket ↗

Marc Cucurella

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.3%

Marc Cucurella

Open Polymarket ↗

Marquinhos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid — · Ask 10.9%

Marquinhos

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Olise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.9%

Michael Olise

Open Polymarket ↗

Nuno Mendes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9%

Nuno Mendes

Open Polymarket ↗

Ousmane Dembélé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.2%

Ousmane Dembélé

Open Polymarket ↗

Pau Cubarsi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.4%

Pau Cubarsi

Open Polymarket ↗

Rodri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0%

Rodri

Open Polymarket ↗

Sadio Mané

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.5%

Sadio Mané

Open Polymarket ↗

Vinícius Júnior

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.2%

Vinícius Júnior

Open Polymarket ↗

Vitinha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.9%

Vitinha

Open Polymarket ↗

William Saliba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

William Saliba

Open Polymarket ↗

Willian Pacho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0%

Willian Pacho

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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