Market comparison

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $61K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 17, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cut 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% Cut 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cut 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cut more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hike 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0% Hike 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 96.0% · Ask 97.0% Hike 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hike more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Maintain current rate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.9% Bid 98.1% · Ask 99.7% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cut 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

Cut 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cut 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Cut more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Hike 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

Hike 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

97.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 97.0%

Hike 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Hike more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Maintain current rate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.9%

Bid 98.1% · Ask 99.7%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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