Market comparison

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 30, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
25 bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4% 25 bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗ 1.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5% 25 bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25 bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% 25 bps increase Open Polymarket ↗ 2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5% 25 bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
50+ bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% 50+ bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 50+ bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
50+ bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5% 50+ bps increase Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 50+ bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cut 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Cut 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cut more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hike 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Hike 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hike more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—
Maintain current rate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗	—
No change Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 63.0% No change Open Polymarket ↗ 97.9% Bid 96.9% · Ask 98.9% No change Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

25 bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4%

25 bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

25 bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

25 bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0%

25 bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5%

25 bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

50+ bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

50+ bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

50+ bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

50+ bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

50+ bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

50+ bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cut 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Cut 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Cut more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Hike 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Hike 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Hike more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Maintain current rate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

No change

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 63.0%

No change

Open Polymarket ↗

97.9%

Bid 96.9% · Ask 98.9%

No change

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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