Market comparison

Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

9 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 4222h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
claude-opus-4-6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6 Open Polymarket ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6-thinking Open Polymarket ↗	—
claude-opus-4-7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-7 Open Polymarket ↗	—
claude-opus-4-7-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-7-thinking Open Polymarket ↗	—
gemini-3-pro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3-pro Open Polymarket ↗	—
gemini-3.1-pro-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3.1-pro-preview Open Polymarket ↗	—
gpt-5.4-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gpt-5.4-high Open Polymarket ↗	—
muse-spark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old muse-spark Open Polymarket ↗	—

claude-opus-4-6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6

Open Polymarket ↗

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Open Polymarket ↗

claude-opus-4-7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-7

Open Polymarket ↗

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

Open Polymarket ↗

gemini-3-pro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3-pro

Open Polymarket ↗

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Open Polymarket ↗

gpt-5.4-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gpt-5.4-high

Open Polymarket ↗

muse-spark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

muse-spark

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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