Market comparison

Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $13.9M reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $38K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
72,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.8% Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4% 72,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
74,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.5% Bid 97.8% · Ask 99.1% 74,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
76,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.7% Bid 95.8% · Ask 97.6% 76,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
78,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 91.2% · Ask 94.0% 78,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
80,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0% 80,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
82,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% 82,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
84,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% 84,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
86,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.6% 86,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
88,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3% 88,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
90,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% 90,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
92,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% 92,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above $200000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $200000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $250000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $250000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

72,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.8%

Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4%

72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

74,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.5%

Bid 97.8% · Ask 99.1%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

76,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

96.7%

Bid 95.8% · Ask 97.6%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

78,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

92.6%

Bid 91.2% · Ask 94.0%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

74.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

82,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

84,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

86,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.6%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

88,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

92,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $200000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $200000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $250000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $250000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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