Market comparison

Bitcoin above ___ on October 28?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $13.9M reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bitcoin above ___ on October 28?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
74,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.1% Bid 96.5% · Ask 97.7% 74,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
76,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.7% Bid 92.9% · Ask 94.5% 76,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
78,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 84.7% · Ask 87.3% 78,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
80,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 69.0% 80,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
82,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% 82,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
84,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% 84,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
86,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% 86,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
88,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% 88,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
90,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.2% 90,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
92,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% 92,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
94,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.3% 94,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above $200000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $200000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $250000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $250000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

74,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

97.1%

Bid 96.5% · Ask 97.7%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

76,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

93.7%

Bid 92.9% · Ask 94.5%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

78,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

86.0%

Bid 84.7% · Ask 87.3%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 69.0%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

82,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

84,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

86,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

88,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.2%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

92,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

94,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.3%

94,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $200000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $200000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $250000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $250000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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