Market comparison

Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $14.3M reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
72,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.3% Bid 96.9% · Ask 99.6% 72,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
74,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.2% Bid 94.5% · Ask 97.9% 74,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
76,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0% 76,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
78,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0% 78,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
80,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% 80,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
82,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% 82,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
84,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% 84,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
86,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% 86,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
88,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.3% 88,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
90,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7% 90,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
92,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1% 92,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above $200000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Above $200000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $250000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $250000 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

72,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.3%

Bid 96.9% · Ask 99.6%

72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

74,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

96.2%

Bid 94.5% · Ask 97.9%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

76,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

92.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

78,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

81.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

62.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

82,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

84,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

86,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

88,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.3%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

92,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $200000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above $200000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $250000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $250000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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