Market comparison

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

11 outcomes · $1.5M reported volume

Observed 457h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 5, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Flávio Bolsonaro <5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro <5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva <5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva <5% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva 5-10% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva 10-15% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 15%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva 15%+ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Renan Santos Victory Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Renan Santos Victory · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Renan Santos Victory Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ratinho Júnior Victory · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Tarcisio de Freitas Victory · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva <5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva <5% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva 5-10% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva 10-15% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 15%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva 15%+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Renan Santos Victory

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Renan Santos Victory · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Renan Santos Victory

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ratinho Júnior Victory · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Tarcisio de Freitas Victory

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Tarcisio de Freitas Victory · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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