Market comparison

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

1 venue · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

11 outcomes · $201K reported volume

Observed 414h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 4, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Fernando Haddad wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Fernando Haddad wins · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva, ≥15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva, ≥15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva, 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva, 0-5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva, 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva, 5-10% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva, 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Lula da Silva, 10-15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Romeu Zema wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Romeu Zema wins · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Romeu Zema wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Renan Santos wins · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Fernando Haddad wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Fernando Haddad wins · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva, ≥15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva, ≥15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva, 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva, 0-5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva, 5-10% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva, 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Lula da Silva, 10-15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Romeu Zema wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Romeu Zema wins · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Romeu Zema wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Renan Santos wins · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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