Market comparison

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $68K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bruno Retailleau Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
David Lisnard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% David Lisnard Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dominique de Villepin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
douard Philippe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Édouard Philippe Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Flavio Bolsonaro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 92.5% · Ask 93.4% Flavio Bolsonaro Open Polymarket ↗	—
François Hollande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% François Hollande Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
François Ruffin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% François Ruffin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gabriel Attal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gabriel Attal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jordan Bardella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jordan Bardella Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lula Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 6.5% · Ask 7.5% Lula Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marine Le Pen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.0% Marine Le Pen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marine Tondelier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Marine Tondelier Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Raphaël Glucksmann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
ric Zemmour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Éric Zemmour Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Xavier Bertrand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Xavier Bertrand Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Bruno Retailleau

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bruno Retailleau

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

David Lisnard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

David Lisnard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dominique de Villepin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dominique de Villepin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

douard Philippe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Édouard Philippe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flavio Bolsonaro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

93.0%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 93.4%

Flavio Bolsonaro

Open Polymarket ↗

François Hollande

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

François Hollande

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

François Ruffin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

François Ruffin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gabriel Attal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gabriel Attal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jordan Bardella

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jordan Bardella

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lula

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 7.5%

Lula

Open Polymarket ↗

Marine Le Pen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.0%

Marine Le Pen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marine Tondelier

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Marine Tondelier

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Raphaël Glucksmann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Raphaël Glucksmann

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

ric Zemmour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Éric Zemmour

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Xavier Bertrand

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Xavier Bertrand

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets