Market comparison

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory

1 venue · 14 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

15 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Flávio Bolsonaro <2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Flávio Bolsonaro <2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0% Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.8% Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.2% Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.8% Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.7% Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva <2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Lula da Silva <2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.4% Lula da Silva 2-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Lula da Silva 4-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4% Lula da Silva 6-8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 8-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7% Lula da Silva 8-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 10-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Lula da Silva 10-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Lula da Silva 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Flávio Bolsonaro <2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro <2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.8%

Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.2%

Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.8%

Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.7%

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva <2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Lula da Silva <2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 2-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.4%

Lula da Silva 2-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 4-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Lula da Silva 4-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 6-8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4%

Lula da Silva 6-8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 8-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7%

Lula da Silva 8-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 10-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Lula da Silva 10-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Lula da Silva 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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