Market comparison
British Columbia general election winner?
2 venues · 8 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $116K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $12K reported volume
Observed 58s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
CentreBC Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
OneBC Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
BC Conservatives Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
BC Greens Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
BC NDP Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
BC NDP Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Conservative Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Greens Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
CentreBC
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
OneBC
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
BC Conservatives
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
BC Greens
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
BC NDP
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
BC NDP
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Conservative
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Greens
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.