Market comparison

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

2 venues · 48 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

90 outcomes · $159K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 10, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 6, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
1. FC Köln Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 97.9% 1. FC Köln Open Polymarket ↗	—
Achraf Hakimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bayer Leverkusen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 77.0% Bayer Leverkusen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bayern Munich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.5% Bid 96.1% · Ask 96.8% Bayern Munich Open Polymarket ↗	—
Borussia Dortmund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.5% Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0% Borussia Dortmund Open Polymarket ↗	—
Borussia Mönchengladbach Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0% Borussia Mönchengladbach Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bruno Fernandes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 79.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dayot Upamecano Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗ 49.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Declan Rice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 47.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗ 16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Eintracht Frankfurt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid — · Ask 1.6% Eintracht Frankfurt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Erling Haaland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗ 87.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 88.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fabián Ruiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗ 70.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 70.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗ 11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
FC Augsburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 24.0% FC Augsburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ferran Torres Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gabriel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hamburger SV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.3% Bid 7.4% · Ask 29.1% Hamburger SV Open Polymarket ↗	—
Harry Kane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
João Neves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗ 16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 21.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jude Bellingham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗ 37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Julián Quiñones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 23.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 100.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗ 29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 31.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kylian Mbappé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lamine Yamal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 97.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lautaro Martínez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lionel Messi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗ 72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Luis Díaz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 94.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗ 8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mainz 05 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 93.0% Mainz 05 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marc Cucurella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 19.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marquinhos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗ 41.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 82.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Olise Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗ 90.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗ 32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nuno Mendes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ousmane Dembélé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗ 19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pau Cubarsí Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 21.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗ 13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
RB Leipzig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 61.0% RB Leipzig Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗ 78.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sadio Mané Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗ 49.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SC Freiburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 65.0% SC Freiburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
SC Paderborn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.1% SC Paderborn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Schalke 04 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 19.7% Schalke 04 Open Polymarket ↗	—
SV Elversberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 96.9% SV Elversberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
TSG Hoffenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% TSG Hoffenheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
Union Berlin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.9% Union Berlin Open Polymarket ↗	—
VfB Stuttgart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 42.0% VfB Stuttgart Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vinícius Júnior Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 94.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 54.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Vitinha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗ 16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Werder Bremen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 24.0% Werder Bremen Open Polymarket ↗	—
William Saliba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗ 28.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 56.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Willian Pacho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

1. FC Köln

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 97.9%

1. FC Köln

Open Polymarket ↗

Achraf Hakimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0%

Achraf Hakimi

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Kalshi

Polymarket

1. FC Köln

Kalshi

Polymarket

Achraf Hakimi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bayer Leverkusen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bayern Munich

Kalshi

Polymarket

Borussia Dortmund

Kalshi

Polymarket

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bruno Fernandes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dayot Upamecano

Kalshi

Polymarket

Declan Rice

Kalshi

Polymarket

Eintracht Frankfurt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Erling Haaland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fabián Ruiz

Kalshi

Polymarket

FC Augsburg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ferran Torres

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gabriel

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hamburger SV

Kalshi

Polymarket

Harry Kane

Kalshi

Polymarket

João Neves

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jude Bellingham

Kalshi

Polymarket

Julián Quiñones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamine Yamal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lautaro Martínez

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lionel Messi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Luis Díaz

Kalshi