The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 2 Leader

2 venues · 149 outcome rows · 91 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

120 outcomes · $60K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 8, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

121 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

A.J. Ewart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

A.J. Ewart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

A.J. Ewart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Aaron Baddeley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aaron Baddeley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid — · Ask 79.0%

Aaron Baddeley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 38.5 pp

Adam Hadwin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Hadwin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Adam Hadwin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Adam Long

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Long

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid — · Ask 11.0%

Adam Long

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Adam Schenk

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Schenk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid — · Ask 48.0%

Adam Schenk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 23.5 pp

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Aldrich Potgieter

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aldrich Potgieter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Aldrich Potgieter

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Andrew Novak

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Andrew Novak

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 9.8%

Andrew Novak

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Austin Cook

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Austin Cook

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Austin Cook

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Austin Eckroat

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Austin Eckroat

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Austin Eckroat

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Austin Lemieux

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Austin Lemieux

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Austin Lemieux

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Austin Smotherman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Austin Smotherman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.0%

Austin Smotherman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Ben Kohles

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 18.0%

Ben Kohles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.3%

Bid 7.8% · Ask 12.8%

Ben Kohles

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 7.7 pp

Ben Martin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ben Martin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.8%

Ben Martin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Bill Haas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bill Haas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Bill Haas

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Brice Garnett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Brice Garnett

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.3%

Brice Garnett

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Cameron Champ

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cameron Champ

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid — · Ask 33.0%

Cameron Champ

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.0 pp

Camiko Smith

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Camiko Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Camiko Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Chad Ramey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Chad Ramey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.7%

Chad Ramey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Chan Kim

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Chan Kim

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.0%

Chan Kim

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Chandler Blanchet

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 22.0%

Chandler Blanchet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 10.6%

Chandler Blanchet

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.3 pp

Chandler Phillips

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Chandler Phillips

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Chandler Phillips

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Charley Hoffman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Charley Hoffman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Charley Hoffman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Chez Reavie

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Chez Reavie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid — · Ask 63.0%

Chez Reavie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 31.0 pp

Chris Kirk

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Chris Kirk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 15.2%

Chris Kirk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.3 pp

Christo Lamprecht

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Christo Lamprecht

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Christo Lamprecht

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Corey Conners

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Corey Conners

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.9%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.8%

Corey Conners

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

David Ford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

David Ford

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

David Ford

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

David Lingmerth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

David Lingmerth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid — · Ask 43.0%

David Lingmerth

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 21.0 pp

David Skinns

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

David Skinns

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid — · Ask 72.0%

David Skinns

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 35.0 pp

Davis Chatfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Davis Chatfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Davis Chatfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Davis Riley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Davis Riley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 3.0%

Davis Riley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Denny McCarthy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Denny McCarthy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.4%

Denny McCarthy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Dylan Frittelli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dylan Frittelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid — · Ask 45.0%

Dylan Frittelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 22.0 pp

Emiliano Grillo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Emiliano Grillo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 5.0%

Emiliano Grillo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Eric Cole

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Eric Cole

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 7.0%

Eric Cole

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Greg Koch

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Greg Koch

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Greg Koch

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Hao-Tong Li

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hao-Tong Li

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Hao-Tong Li

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Harry Higgs

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Harry Higgs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid — · Ask 21.0%

Harry Higgs

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Hayden Springer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hayden Springer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 3.0%

Hayden Springer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Henrik Norlander

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Henrik Norlander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Henrik Norlander

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Isaiah Salinda

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Isaiah Salinda

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Isaiah Salinda

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Jeffrey Kang

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jeffrey Kang

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Jeffrey Kang

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Jeremy Paul

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jeremy Paul

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Jeremy Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Jimmy Stanger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jimmy Stanger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid — · Ask 25.0%

Jimmy Stanger

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.0 pp

Joel Dahmen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Joel Dahmen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.4%

Joel Dahmen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

John Parry

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

John Parry

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

John Parry

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Jonathan Byrd

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Jonathan Byrd

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Jonathan Byrd

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Justin Lower

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Justin Lower

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Justin Lower

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Kensei Hirata

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Kensei Hirata

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.9%

Kensei Hirata

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Kevin Roy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kevin Roy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.7%

Kevin Roy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Kevin Streelman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kevin Streelman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Kevin Streelman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Kihei Akina

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kihei Akina

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.3%

Kihei Akina

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Lee Hodges

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Lee Hodges

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.0%

Lee Hodges

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Lucas Glover

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lucas Glover

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Lucas Glover

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Luke Clanton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Luke Clanton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.2%

Luke Clanton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Luke List

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Luke List

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Luke List

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Mackenzie Hughes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mackenzie Hughes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 7.0%

Mackenzie Hughes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Marcelo Rozo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Marcelo Rozo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid — · Ask 36.0%

Marcelo Rozo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 17.5 pp

Mark Hubbard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mark Hubbard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.8%

Mark Hubbard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Martin Laird

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Martin Laird

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid — · Ask 40.0%

Martin Laird

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 19.5 pp

Mason Howell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mason Howell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid — · Ask 52.0%

Mason Howell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 25.5 pp

Matthew Anderson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Matthew Anderson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Matthew Anderson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Matthieu Pavon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Matthieu Pavon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Matthieu Pavon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Max Greyserman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Max Greyserman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Max Greyserman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Max McGreevy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Max McGreevy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Max McGreevy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Miles Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Miles Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Miles Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Neal Shipley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Neal Shipley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Neal Shipley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Nick Dunlap

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nick Dunlap

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Nick Dunlap

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Nick Hardy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nick Hardy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Nick Hardy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Nick Jones

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nick Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid — · Ask 48.0%

Nick Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 23.5 pp

Patrick Fishburn

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Patrick Fishburn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Patrick Fishburn

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Patton Kizzire

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Patton Kizzire

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid — · Ask 60.0%

Patton Kizzire

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 29.5 pp

Paul Peterson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Paul Peterson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid — · Ask 18.0%

Paul Peterson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 8.5 pp

Peter Malnati

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Peter Malnati

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Peter Malnati

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Pontus Nyholm

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pontus Nyholm

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Pontus Nyholm

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Rafael Campos

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Rafael Campos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid — · Ask 25.0%

Rafael Campos

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.0 pp

Rico Hoey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Rico Hoey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.0%

Rico Hoey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Robert Streb

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Robert Streb

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Robert Streb

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Rudy Sautron

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Rudy Sautron

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Rudy Sautron

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Ryan Brehm

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ryan Brehm

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Ryan Brehm

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Seamus Power

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Seamus Power

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 5.8%

Seamus Power

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Takumi Kanaya

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Takumi Kanaya

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Takumi Kanaya

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Taylor Moore

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Taylor Moore

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 4.0%

Taylor Moore

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Taylor Pendrith

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Taylor Pendrith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Taylor Pendrith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Tom Hoge

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tom Hoge

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Tom Hoge

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Trace Crowe

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Trace Crowe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.4%

Trace Crowe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Troy Merritt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Troy Merritt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid — · Ask 4.0%

Troy Merritt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Tyler Duncan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tyler Duncan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Tyler Duncan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

William McGirt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

William McGirt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

William McGirt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Zac Blair

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Zac Blair

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.7%

Zac Blair

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Aaron Wise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aaron Wise

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Adam Svensson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Svensson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Alejandro Tosti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alejandro Tosti

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ben Silverman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Ben Silverman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ben Silverman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.4%

Benjamin Silverman

Open Polymarket ↗

Benjamin James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Benjamin James

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Ben James

Open Polymarket ↗

Brendon Todd

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Brendon Todd

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cam Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cameron Davis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cam Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Cam Davis

Open Polymarket ↗

Camilo Villegas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Camilo Villegas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cheng Tsung Pan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

C.T. Pan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cheng Tsung Pan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Cheng Tsung Pan

Open Polymarket ↗

Danny Walker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Danny Walker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davis Thompson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Davis Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dylan Wu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dylan Wu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Erik Van Rooyen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Erik Van Rooyen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greyson Sigg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Greyson Sigg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Henry Lebioda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hank Lebioda

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Henry Lebioda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Henry Lebioda

Open Polymarket ↗

Jay Leng

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jay Leng

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jesper Svensson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jesper Svensson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

John VanDerLaan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

John VanDerLaan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kevin Yu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kevin Yu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kris Ventura

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kris Ventura

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nixon Lauritzen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nixon Lauritzen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Player 0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 0 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 1 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ren Yonezawa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ren Yonezawa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

S.Y. Noh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Seung-Yul Noh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

S.Y. Noh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

S.Y. Noh

Open Polymarket ↗

Taylor Montgomery

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Taylor Montgomery

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Vince Whaley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Vince Whaley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Virgilio Paz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Virgilio Paz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Will Gordon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Will Gordon

Open Polymarket ↗

Will Gordon leads at the end of Round 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Will Gordon leads at the end of Round 2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Willie Mack

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Willie Mack

Open Polymarket ↗

Willie Mack III

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Willie Mack III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ze-Cheng Dou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zecheng Dou

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ze-Cheng Dou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Ze-Cheng Dou

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.