Market comparison

CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.3% Bid 1.8% · Ask 88.8% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.9% Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.8% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 79.2% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.6% Bid 5.0% · Ask 54.3% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 3.2% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.3% Bid 4.7% · Ask 83.8% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 93.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.3%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 88.8%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.9%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.8%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 79.2%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.6%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 54.3%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.3%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 83.8%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 93.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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