The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

CA-04 House winner?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $51K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Democratic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.4%

Bid 99.3% · Ask 99.5%

Democratic Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Eric Jones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Eric Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Mike Thompson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Mike Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Republican Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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