Market comparison

CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

13 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 72.0% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 68.3% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 69.8% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.4% Bid 2.7% · Ask 68.2% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.2% Bid 4.5% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.1% Bid 2.4% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 46.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 72.0%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 68.3%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 69.8%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.4%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 68.2%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.2%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.1%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 46.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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