Market comparison

CA-11 House winner? (Person)

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $247K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CA-11 House winner? (Person)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Connie Chan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Connie Chan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democratic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.2% Bid 97.2% · Ask 99.2% Democratic Party Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marie Hurabiell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Marie Hurabiell · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Haney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Matt Haney · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Republican Party Open Polymarket ↗	—
Saikat Chakrabarti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Saikat Chakrabarti · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Scott Wiener Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0% Scott Wiener Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Connie Chan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Connie Chan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democratic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.2%

Bid 97.2% · Ask 99.2%

Democratic Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Marie Hurabiell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Marie Hurabiell · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Haney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Matt Haney · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Republican Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Saikat Chakrabarti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Saikat Chakrabarti · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Scott Wiener

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0%

Scott Wiener

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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