Market comparison

California Governor winner? (Person)

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 22 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

45 outcomes · $42.2M reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

27 outcomes · $23.2M reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for California Governor winner? (Person)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alex Padilla Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Alex Padilla Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Alex Padilla · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Antonio Villaraigosa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Antonio Villaraigosa Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Antonio Villaraigosa · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Betty Yee Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Betty Yee Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Betty Yee · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Butch Ware Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Butch Ware Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Butch Ware · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Chad Bianco Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chad Bianco Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Chad Bianco · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Daniel Mercuri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Daniel Mercuri Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Daniel Mercuri · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Eleni Kounalakis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Eleni Kounalakis Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Eleni Kounalakis · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Eric Swalwell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Eric Swalwell Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Eric Swalwell · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Kamala Harris Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kamala Harris Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kamala Harris · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Katie Porter Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Katie Porter Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Katie Porter · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Kyle Langford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kyle Langford Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kyle Langford · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Leo Zacky Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Leo Zacky Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leo Zacky · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Matt Mahan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Matt Mahan Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Matt Mahan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Michael Younger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Michael Younger Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Michael Younger · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Nicole Shanahan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Nicole Shanahan Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nicole Shanahan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Rick Caruso Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rick Caruso Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Rick Caruso · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Stephen Cloobeck Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Stephen Cloobeck Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Stephen Cloobeck · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Steve Hilton Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.4% Steve Hilton Open Polymarket ↗	3.4% Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.4% Steve Hilton Open Kalshi ↗ 3.7% Bid 2.9% · Ask 3.7% Steve Hilton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tom Steyer Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Tom Steyer Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tom Steyer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Toni Atkins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Toni Atkins Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Toni Atkins · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Tony Thurmond Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tony Thurmond Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tony Thurmond · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Xavier Becerra Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	96.6% Bid 96.3% · Ask 96.9% Xavier Becerra Open Polymarket ↗	96.9% Bid 96.9% · Ask 97.0% Xavier Becerra Open Kalshi ↗ 96.4% Bid 96.4% · Ask 97.0% Xavier Becerra Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ché Ahn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ché Ahn · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elaine Culotti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Elaine Culotti Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ethan Agarwal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ethan Agarwal · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rob Bonta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Rob Bonta · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alex Padilla

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Alex Padilla

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Alex Padilla · closed

California Governor winner? (Person)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alex Padilla

Polymarket

Kalshi

Antonio Villaraigosa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Betty Yee

Polymarket

Kalshi

Butch Ware

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chad Bianco

Polymarket

Kalshi

Daniel Mercuri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eleni Kounalakis

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eric Swalwell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kamala Harris

Polymarket

Kalshi

Katie Porter

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kyle Langford

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leo Zacky

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matt Mahan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Michael Younger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nicole Shanahan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rick Caruso

Polymarket

Kalshi

Stephen Cloobeck

Polymarket

Kalshi

Steve Hilton

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tom Steyer

Polymarket

Kalshi

Toni Atkins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tony Thurmond

Polymarket

Kalshi

Xavier Becerra

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ché Ahn

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elaine Culotti

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ethan Agarwal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rob Bonta

Polymarket