Market comparison

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

8 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Yes, ≥1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% Yes, ≥4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Yes, ≥7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Yes, ≥16% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Yes, ≥13% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Yes, ≥19% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Yes, ≥22% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes, ≥1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Yes, ≥10% Open Kalshi ↗	—

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

Yes, ≥1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0%

Yes, ≥4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0%

Yes, ≥7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Yes, ≥16%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Yes, ≥13%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Yes, ≥19%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Yes, ≥22%

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes, ≥1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Yes, ≥10%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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