The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Champions League Round of 16 Qualifiers

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $88K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

36 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 11, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

AEK Athens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

AEK Athens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

AEK Athens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Arsenal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

97.8%

Bid 96.3% · Ask 99.3%

Arsenal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 98.0%

Arsenal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Aston Villa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

73.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 74.0%

Aston Villa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 80.0%

Aston Villa

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Barcelona

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

94.9%

Bid 93.4% · Ask 96.4%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.0%

Barcelona

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Bayern Munich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 90.8%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

89.5%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 97.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Club Brugge

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

Club Brugge

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

47.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 57.0%

Club Brugge

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Como

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

52.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 60.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Feyenoord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Feyenoord

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

26.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 35.0%

Feyenoord

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Galatasaray

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Galatasaray

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 39.0%

Galatasaray

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

LASK

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.6%

LASK

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 14.0%

LASK

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Lens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0%

Lens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Lille

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 21.0%

Lille

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Liverpool

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

Liverpool

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 94.0%

Liverpool

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Manchester City

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

85.5%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Manchester City

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 96.0%

Manchester City

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Manchester United

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Manchester United

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 51.0%

Manchester United

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 7.0 pp

Napoli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

39.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 46.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Porto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Porto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 24.0%

Porto

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

PSV Eindhoven

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

30.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 41.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Real Betis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0%

Real Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

66.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 77.0%

Real Betis

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Real Madrid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

96.8%

Bid 94.8% · Ask 98.7%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 98.0%

Real Madrid

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Roma

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Slavia Prague

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.8%

Slavia Prague

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0%

Slavia Prague

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.6 pp

Slovan Bratislava

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 6.2%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 20.0%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.7 pp

Sporting CP

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0%

Sporting CP

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 52.0%

Sporting CP

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Viking

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 6.5%

Viking

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Viking

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Villarreal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

36.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 45.0%

Villarreal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Atletico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 70.0%

Atletico

Open Kalshi ↗

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bodø/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Bodø/Glimt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bodø/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 49.0%

Bodoe/Glimt

Open Kalshi ↗

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 60.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 71.0%

Dortmund

Open Kalshi ↗

Fenerbahce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Fenerbahce

Open Kalshi ↗

Fenerbahçe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Fenerbahçe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 53.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 41.0%

Leipzig

Open Kalshi ↗

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.6%

Bid 97.2% · Ask 100.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

PSG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 99.0%

PSG

Open Kalshi ↗

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sabah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.8%

Sabah

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sabah Masazir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 61.0%

Sabah Masazir

Open Kalshi ↗

Shakhtar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 39.0%

Shakhtar

Open Kalshi ↗

Shakhtar Donetsk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 73.0%

Stuttgart

Open Kalshi ↗

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

62.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.