Market comparison

Claude 5 released by…?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

10 outcomes · $3.6M reported volume

Observed 3883h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Feb 6, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Claude 5 released by…?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
April 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old April 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
December 31, 2025 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old December 31, 2025 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
February 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old February 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
February 14, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old February 14, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
February 28, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old February 28, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old June 30, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 15, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old March 15, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old March 31, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old May 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—
September 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old September 30, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—

April 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

April 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31, 2025

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

December 31, 2025 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

February 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

February 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

February 14, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

February 14, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

February 28, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

February 28, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

June 30, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

March 15, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

March 15, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

March 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

March 31, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

May 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

May 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

September 30, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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