Market comparison

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
40+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.2% Bid 94.7% · Ask 95.6% $40+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
50+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0% $50+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
60+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% $60+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
75+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.7% $75+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

40+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

95.2%

Bid 94.7% · Ask 95.6%

$40+

Open Polymarket ↗

50+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

$50+

Open Polymarket ↗

60+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

$60+

Open Polymarket ↗

75+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.7%

$75+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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