Market comparison

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
15+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 88.0% $15+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
20+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 83.0% $20+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
30+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 3.6% · Ask 9.0% $30+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
50+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.1% $50+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

15+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

84.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 88.0%

$15+

Open Polymarket ↗

20+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 83.0%

$20+

Open Polymarket ↗

30+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 9.0%

$30+

Open Polymarket ↗

50+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.1%

$50+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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